Monash University
CR thesis v1.3 unsigned.pdf (5.05 MB)

Time series modelling and forecasting of disaggregated electricity data

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posted on 2020-07-18, 04:19 authored by CAMERON HAMILTON ROACH
The electricity industry is collecting large volumes of data from various sources. From regional grid demand to individual sensor readings in buildings, there is a wide range of disaggregated data sources requiring new techniques for forecasting and inference. A better understanding of how electricity is being used by consumers has the potential to increase energy efficiency and improve grid planning and management. This thesis presents several novel approaches to understanding these varied data sources. Contributions include advances in hierarchical probabilistic load forecasting; inference and forecasting using smart meter data and building characteristics; and exploratory analysis of building management system data.


Campus location


Principal supervisor

Rob Hyndman

Additional supervisor 1

Souhaib Ben Taieb

Year of Award


Department, School or Centre

Econometrics and Business Statistics

Additional Institution or Organisation

Buildings Alive


Doctor of Philosophy

Degree Type



Faculty of Business and Economics