posted on 2017-03-02, 02:35authored byTyrrell, Nicholas Luke
In global warming scenarios, global land surface temperatures (T_land) warm
with greater amplitude than sea surface temperatures (SSTs), leading to a
land/ocean warming temperature contrast. This land/ocean contrast is not only
due to the different heat capacities of the land and ocean as it exists for
transient and equilibrium scenarios. Similarly, the interannual variability of
T_land is larger than the covariant interannual SST variability, leading to
a land/ocean temperature contrast in natural variability. This work
investigates the land/ocean temperature contrast in natural variability based on
observations, coupled global model simulations, atmospheric global model
simulations with different SST forcings, and using idealised models with
simplified geometry or processes.
The land/ocean temperature contrast in interannual variability is found to exist
in observations and models to a varying extent in global, tropical and
extra-tropical bands. There is agreement between models and observations in the
tropics but not the extra-tropics. Causality in the land-ocean relationship is
explored with modelling experiments forced with prescribed SSTs, where an
amplification of the imposed SST variability is seen over land. The
amplification of T_land to tropical SST anomalies is due to the enhanced
upper level atmospheric warming that corresponds with tropical moist convection
over oceans leading to upper level temperature variations that are larger in
amplitude than the source SST anomalies. This mechanism is similar to that
proposed for explaining the equilibrium global warming land/ocean warming
contrast.
The tropospheric structure is studied with single and two column models. It is
found that realistic values of the land/ocean contrast can be simulated with the
simplified models, and the atmospheric structure is similar to the mean tropical
response in global climate models. However on regional scales the simple models
fail to represent the magnitude or patterns of the global response. The regional
response is then explored with the Globally Resolved Energy Balance (GREB)
model. This model represents the circulation, clouds and soil moisture as
boundary conditions. Perturbation experiments allow for attribution of the
regional response of a complex coupled climate model to these boundary
conditions.