Monash University

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Heart failure in older Australians: Epidemiology and risk prediction modelling

posted on 2018-02-22, 01:48 authored by BERHE WELDEAREGAWI SAHLE
The population burden and costs of heart failure (HF) are predicted to increase, unless those at high-risk of HF are identified and targeted for risk reduction. This thesis used data from older hypertensive cohort managed in a community to investigate the epidemiology of HF, and develop HF risk prediction model. HF is a frequent long-term outcome in older hypertensives, and survival after HF diagnosis remains poor. Despite the abundance of HF prediction models, their application remains unclear due to methodological limitations. Multivariable model consisting of readily accessible variables that allows reliable prediction of 10-year risk of incident HF was developed.


Principal supervisor

Christopher Reid

Additional supervisor 1

Alice J. Owen

Year of Award


Department, School or Centre

Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine

Campus location



Doctor of Philosophy

Degree Type



Faculty of Medicine Nursing and Health Sciences

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    Faculty of Medicine, Nursing and Health Sciences Theses