Monash University
Browse

Essays on cross-validation methods for Bayesian models of non-exchangeable data

thesis
posted on 2025-01-13, 22:50 authored by Alexander Douglas Russell Cooper
Cross-validation (CV) is a popular method for measuring the predictive ability of statistical models, and is often used for model selection. This thesis develops methods for implementing CV on data with dependence structures, like time-series or spatial data. It develops a practical method for computing parallel CV by Markov chain Monte Carlo inference on modern computing hardware. In addition, it analyzes properties of CV estimators for models of time series and spatial data. It finds that the use of certain mathematical evaluation functions are more statistically efficient than other commonly-used approaches.

History

Campus location

Australia

Principal supervisor

Catherine Scipione Forbes

Additional supervisor 1

Aki Vehtari

Additional supervisor 2

Lauren Kennedy

Year of Award

2025

Department, School or Centre

Econometrics and Business Statistics

Course

Doctor of Philosophy

Degree Type

DOCTORATE

Faculty

Faculty of Business and Economics

Usage metrics

    Faculty of Business and Economics Theses

    Exports

    RefWorks
    BibTeX
    Ref. manager
    Endnote
    DataCite
    NLM
    DC