Development, validation, and demonstration of the VTUF-3D v1.0 urban micro-climate model to support assessments of urban vegetation influences on human thermal comfort
With urban
areas facing future longer duration heat-waves and temperature extremes from
climate change and growing urban development, adaptation strategies are needed.
Examining the role that increased tree cover and water availability can have on
human thermal comfort (HTC) in urban areas as part of these strategies has been
done using observations, but further work requires a modelling tool suited for
this task. Sufficient model resolution is needed to resolve variables used to
calculate HTC, as well as the ability to model the physiological processes of
vegetation and their interaction with water and with the rest of the urban
environment. The lack of such a model has been identified as a research gap in
the urban climate area and has impaired the ability to fully examine the use of
urban greenery and water for improved human thermal comfort.
A new model, VTUF-3D (Vegetated Temperatures Of Urban
Facets), addresses this gap by embedding the functionality of the MAESPA tree
process model (Duursma & Medlyn 2012), that can model individual trees,
vegetation, and soil components, within the TUF-3D (Krayenhoff & Voogt
2007) urban micro-climate model. An innovative tiling approach, allows the new
model to account for important vegetative physiological processes and shading
effects using configurable templates to allow representation of any type of
vegetation or water sensitive design feature. The high resolution of VTUF-3D is
sufficient to examine the processes that drive human thermal comfort (HTC).
This allows detailed calculations of surface temperatures, mean radiant
temperature (Tmrt), and a HTC index, the universal thermal climate index
(UTCI), across an urban canyon.
An extensive validation process, using three different
observation data sets to validate a number of different and key aspects of the
VTUF-3D model, has shown it performs well and is suitable for use to examine
critical questions relating to the role of vegetation and water in the urban
environment.
A demonstration of the model using modelling scenarios of
varying canopy cover shows that average peak daytime HTC improvements of 1◦C
UTCI (and 2.3◦C UTCI) are possible in doubling (and quadrupling) existing
street cover canopies, with localised effects under canopy cover approaching
5◦C UTCI. These scenarios also show the value of the existing canopy cover, as
reductions and elimination of existing cover can create reductions in HTC of
2◦C UTCI. In addition, reductions in average air temperature (Ta) across urban
canyons can differ by 1◦C between streets with differing canopy cover.
After the development, validation, and demonstration of this
new model, it is now possible to conduct further analysis to quantify the
impact each individual tree can have on temperatures in urban canyons. Further,
the model can help inform the optimal arrangement and quantity of trees to
maximise temperature moderation effects and be used to generate best practices
guidelines for urban greening.