Monash SA_M.Phil. Criminology Dissertation_Francois van Jaarsveld_Student Number_29106346.pdf (4.57 MB)

CRIME OPPORTUNITY & RISK FORECASTING: A NEW PERSPECTIVE APPLIED TO STREET ROBBERIES IN JOHANNESBURG CENTRAL, SOUTH AFRICA

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posted on 31.08.2021, 05:04 by FRANCOIS VAN JAARSVELD
The study’s aim was to design and develop a new crime forecasting model called Crime Opportunity & Risk Forecasting (CORF) to address the existing limitations to implementation within the South African context. The CORF model addressed these limitations through a synthesized template of Criminology’s Opportunity Theories, and an uncomplicated, cost-effective and thorough design, that resulted in the successful forecast of 81% of street robberies that took place in Johannesburg Central during April 2017. The successful forecast indicated that the CORF model could provide valuable academic insights for scholars and present governments with a formidable new tool to prevent crime.

History

Principal supervisor

Tara Harris

Year of Award

2021

Department, School or Centre

School of Social Sciences (South Africa)

Course

Master of Philosophy

Degree Type

MPHIL

Campus location

South africa

Faculty

Faculty of Arts

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